Fed Decision in December?

$455k Vol.

Dec 9, 2026

25 bps increase 48%

No change 45%

25 bps decrease 7%

50+ bps increase 2%

25 bps increase

$124k Vol.

1%

No change

$72k Vol.

25 bps decrease

$99k Vol.

1%

50+ bps decrease

$75k Vol.

1%

50+ bps increase

$85k Vol.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Created At:Jul 30, 2026, 12:43 AM UTC

25 bps increase

Fed Decision in December?

Buy Yes, 25 bps increase
$
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