How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$123k Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Below 5.20% 38%

Below 5.15% 23%

Below 5.10% 20%

Below 5.00% 15%

Below 5.20%

$18k Vol.

Below 5.15%

$16k Vol.

1%

Below 5.10%

$18k Vol.

1%

Below 5.00%

$13k Vol.

1%

Below 4.95%

$11k Vol.

1%

Below 5.05%

$15k Vol.

7%

Below 4.90%

$10k Vol.

1%

Below 4.80%

$7k Vol.

Below 4.60%

$14k Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Created At:Sep 3, 2026, 1:05 AM UTC

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Buy Yes, Below 5.20%
$
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