Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

$144k Vol.

Oct 31, 2026

Kaitlan Collins

$4k Vol.

2%

J.B. Pritzker

$506 Vol.

13%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5k Vol.

3%

Elizabeth Warren

$2k Vol.

2%

Hillary Clinton

$5k Vol.

20%

Tucker Carlson

$9k Vol.

24%

Mark Carney

$3k Vol.

21%

Chuck Schumer

$6k Vol.

7%

Friedrich Merz

$3k Vol.

12%

Stephen Colbert

$18 Vol.

1%

Candace Owens

$8k Vol.

2%

Emmanuel Macron

$954 Vol.

1%

Ken Paxton

$4k Vol.

4%

Dario Amodei

$31 Vol.

1%

Andy Burnham

$75 Vol.

1%

Mike Rogers

$569 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$2k Vol.

1%

Zohran Mamdani

$6k Vol.

13%

Pope Leo XIV

$3k Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$191 Vol.

Vladimir Putin

$1k Vol.

J.D. Vance

$2k Vol.

Masoud Pezeshkian

$214 Vol.

Elon Musk

$442 Vol.

1%

Xi Jinping

$548 Vol.

Joe Biden

$3k Vol.

Yes

Barack Obama

$25k Vol.

Yes

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$9k Vol.

Yes

Jerome Powell

$2k Vol.

Yes

Nicolás Maduro

$1k Vol.

Yes

Jimmy Kimmel

$9k Vol.

Yes

James Talarico

$631 Vol.

Yes

Abdul El-Sayed

$2k Vol.

Yes

Kathy Hochul

$1k Vol.

Yes

Ilhan Omar

$6k Vol.

Yes

Letitia James

$356 Vol.

Yes

Jon Ossoff

$4k Vol.

Yes

Gavin Newsom

$6k Vol.

Yes

Thomas Massie

$3k Vol.

Yes

Kamala Harris

$4k Vol.

Yes

Hasan Piker

$4k Vol.

Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Created At:Oct 1, 2026, 2:27 PM UTC


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