FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$75k Vol.

Jan 1, 2028

December 31, 2027 68%

June 30, 2027 15%

December 31, 2027

$71k Vol.

June 30, 2027

$4k Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants approval of intismeran autogene for any indication by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Intismeran autogene refers to the individualized neoantigen therapy developed by Moderna and Merck and evaluated in the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial (NCT05933577), also known as mRNA-4157 and V940, together with any brand, trade, or nonproprietary name later assigned to that product, as well as any renamed or modified version that the relevant company or the FDA identify as the same product or a direct continuation of the V940/mRNA-4157 program. Differences in neoantigen composition between patients will not affect resolution. Changes to the product's formulation will not affect resolution, provided the FDA approves the product described above. Approval as part of a combination regimen will qualify. Approval for a narrower population than the one studied in INTerpath-001 will qualify. Approval for an indication other than melanoma will also qualify. Both standard and accelerated approval will qualify. An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs The following do not constitute qualifying approvals: Approvable letters that require additional actions before approval Tentative approvals pending patent or exclusivity expiration FDA requests for additional information or studies Extension of Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) dates Approval for compassionate use or expanded access programs only Approval only for export or for use outside the United States Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) without full approval Complete Response Letters (CRLs) indicating the application cannot be approved in its current form If the listed drug is approved before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of potential Advisory Committee votes against approval or later withdrawal of approval. Conditional approvals may include post-marketing requirements or commitments and still qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At:Aug 19, 2026, 5:49 PM UTC

December 31, 2027

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

Buy Yes, December 31, 2027
$
By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use. Powered by
Juego
Usuario
HoraApuestaMultiplicadorPago
Oculto
12:28 AM
$1,500.00usdc
0.88x$1,321.95
12:26 AM
$0.40eth
0.00x$0.00
12:26 AM
$0.28cash
0.00x$0.00
Oculto
12:26 AM
$2.00eth
0.00x$0.00
12:26 AM
$4.00sol
0.85x$3.40
12:26 AM
$0.20crypto
0.00x$0.00
Oculto
12:26 AM
$0.07usdt
0.00x$0.00
Oculto
12:26 AM
$4.00usdc
0.10x$0.40
12:26 AM
$23.17sol
0.00x$0.00
12:26 AM
$0.25sol
0.00x$0.00
Oculto
12:26 AM
$0.06usdt
0.00x$0.00
Oculto
12:26 AM
$0.87xrp
0.00x$0.00

Premios

Best Crypto Casino of the Year
Brand Ambassador of the Year
Best Start-Up Company of the Year
Best Online Casino Operator of the Year
Best Online Casino Product of the Year

Licencias

License Validation - XNext
License Validation - GCB

Juego responsable

Haz historia

Aprende a

retirarte a tiempo

Responsible Gambling - GambleAware
Responsible Gambling - 18Plus

Socios

Skrill
AstroPay
Interac
Pix
WebPayPlus
UPI
EF

Roobet LogoRoobet.com es una marca comercial de Raw Entertainment B.V, Nº de registro 157205, con domicilio social en Korporaalweg 10, Curaçao, autorizada a realizar operaciones de juego en línea por el Gobierno de Curaçao con la licencia OGL/2024/687/0427. Raw Entertainment Ltd, Reg No HE421735, con domicilio social en Voukourestiou, 25, Neptune House, 1st Floor, Flat/Office11, Zakaki, 3045, Limassol, Chipre, es una Empresa del grupo Roobet que actúa como agente de pagos y operaciones en nombre de Raw Entertainment B.V. 18+ para jugar.
Roobet
0/120

Idioma Soporte

Predictions está disponible solamente en inglés por ahora. Pronto añadiremos más idiomas.