
GPT-6 released by…?
$2.4m Vol.
Jan 1, 2026
No price history available

December 31, 2026
$328k Vol.
Yes

September 30, 2026
$581k Vol.
Yes

September 15, 2026
$273k Vol.
Yes

October 31, 2026
$40k Vol.
Yes

November 30, 2026
$36k Vol.
Yes

December 31, 2025
$108k Vol.
No

March 31, 2026
$0 Vol.
No

June 30, 2026
$220k Vol.
No

July 31, 2026
$84k Vol.
No

August 31, 2026
$298k Vol.
No

August 14, 2026
$171k Vol.
No

August 7, 2026
$110k Vol.
No

August 21, 2026
$190k Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At:Aug 7, 2025, 8:45 PM UTC













