Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$160k Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate 3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate 3%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$46k Vol.
1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$37k Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$46k Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$31k Vol.
Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
Created At:Oct 12, 2026, 4:37 PM UTC
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