
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$2.8m Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
December 31, 2027 46%
June 30, 2027 41%
March 31, 2027 21%
November 30, 2026 7%

December 31, 2027
$3k Vol.
1%

June 30, 2027
$68 Vol.
16%

March 31, 2027
$1k Vol.
2%

December 31, 2026
$2.3m Vol.

November 30, 2026
$5k Vol.

October 31, 2026
$143k Vol.

September 30, 2026
$392k Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Created At:Nov 5, 2025, 7:35 PM UTC















