
Iran leadership change by...?
$24.0m Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
June 30, 2027 25%
December 31 16%
November 30 10%
October 31 8%

June 30, 2027
$247k Vol.

December 31
$4.1m Vol.

November 30
$18k Vol.

October 31
$20k Vol.

September 30
$475k Vol.
1%

August 31
$1.4m Vol.

August 22
$79k Vol.

March 31
$3.2m Vol.
No

March 13
$0 Vol.
No

April 30
$5.0m Vol.
No

May 31
$3.4m Vol.
No

June 30
$4.4m Vol.
No

July 31
$1.6m Vol.
No

August 15
$62k Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At:Mar 9, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC













