
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$66k Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
Uganda 0%
Kenya 0%
Nigeria 48%
Somalia 35%

Nigeria
$25 Vol.
3%

Somalia
$339 Vol.
1%

South Sudan
$5k Vol.
7%

Rwanda
$3k Vol.
1%

Republic of the Congo
$17k Vol.
1%

Burundi
$313 Vol.
1%

India
$868 Vol.
5%

United States
$11k Vol.

Canada
$3k Vol.

Ethiopia
$564 Vol.
1%

China
$4k Vol.

Uganda
$2k Vol.
Yes

Kenya
$19k Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Created At:May 22, 2026, 5:07 PM UTC
















