
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$303k Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 66%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate 2%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate 1%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$47k Vol.
1%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$60k Vol.
1%

Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$102k Vol.
1%

Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$94k Vol.
Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Created At:Oct 12, 2026, 7:05 PM UTC


















