SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$388k Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
October 31 96%
September 30 92%
Successful splash down? 84%
Super Heavy booster explodes? 80%
October 31
$761 Vol.
September 30
$14k Vol.
1%
Successful splash down?
$2k Vol.
5%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$19k Vol.
September 15
$18k Vol.
19%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$9k Vol.
2%
Chopsticks catch Starship?
$265k Vol.
August 31
$53k Vol.
August 22
$7k Vol.
No
Rules
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
Created At:Jul 31, 2026, 2:36 PM UTC
'%20/%3e%3cdefs%3e%3clinearGradient%20id='paint0_linear_2871_1460'%20x1='6.43402'%20y1='18.286'%20x2='17.4472'%20y2='5.89318'%20gradientUnits='userSpaceOnUse'%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.08'%20stop-color='%239945FF'%20/%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.3'%20stop-color='%238752F3'%20/%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.5'%20stop-color='%235497D5'%20/%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.6'%20stop-color='%2343B4CA'%20/%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.72'%20stop-color='%2328E0B9'%20/%3e%3cstop%20offset='0.97'%20stop-color='%2319FB9B'%20/%3e%3c/linearGradient%3e%3c/defs%3e%3c/svg%3e)
'%3e%3cpath%20d='m67.9673%2042.8457c-4.6082%2018.4823-23.3298%2029.7303-41.8163%2025.1214-18.47873-4.6077-29.7279-23.3285-25.11767-41.8093%204.60619-18.48434%2023.32777-29.73317%2041.80857-25.12544%2018.4851%204.60772%2029.7341%2023.33014%2025.1254%2041.81334z'%20fill='%23F7931A'/%3e%3cg%20fill='%23fff'%3e%3cpath%20d='m46.5921%2027.2557c-.4182-4.3484-4.1718-5.8057-8.9151-6.2213v-6.0344h-3.6705v5.8733c-.9637%200-1.9508.0182-2.9301.039v-5.9123h-3.6705l-.0026%206.0292c-.7949.0155-1.5768.0311-2.3379.0311v-.0182l-5.0628-.0026v3.9225s2.7119-.0519%202.6652-.0026c1.4884%200%201.9716.8624%202.1119%201.608v6.8734c.1039%200%20.2364.0051.387.0259h-.387l-.0026%209.6295c-.065.4676-.3403%201.2131-1.3794%201.2157.0468.0416-2.6678%200-2.6678%200l-.7299%204.3849h4.7797c.8884%200%201.7638.0156%202.621.0208l.0026%206.1019h3.6679v-6.037c1.0053.0208%201.9794.0286%202.9327.0286l-.0026%206.0084h3.6705v-6.0889c6.172-.3533%2010.4971-1.9093%2011.0322-7.7073.4338-4.668-1.7612-6.7539-5.2654-7.5955%202.1326-1.0807%203.4652-2.9899%203.1535-6.1721zm-5.1381%2013.0455c0%204.5588-7.806%204.0419-10.2971%204.0419v-8.0865c2.4911.0052%2010.2971-.7091%2010.2971%204.0446zm-1.7093-11.4063c0%204.1484-6.5149%203.6627-8.5878%203.6652v-7.3305c2.0755%200%208.5904-.6598%208.5878%203.6653z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='m24.788%2033.2778h.5455v.4027h-.5455z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
'%3e%3cpath%20d='m15.1233%2011h41.589v44h-41.589z'%20fill='%23fff'/%3e%3cpath%20clip-rule='evenodd'%20d='m15.3328%205.8143c5.6735-3.79091%2012.3437-5.8143%2019.1671-5.8143h.2005c4.5175.0131448%208.9881.915943%2013.1566%202.65685%204.1685%201.7409%207.9533%204.28582%2011.1383%207.48945%203.185%203.2036%205.7079%207.0032%207.4244%2011.1818%201.7166%204.1786%202.5933%208.6544%202.5802%2013.1719%200%206.8234-2.0234%2013.4937-5.8143%2019.1672s-9.1791%2010.0954-15.4831%2012.7066c-6.3041%202.6112-13.2408%203.2945-19.9332%201.9633-6.6923-1.3312-12.8396-4.617-17.6645-9.4419-4.82489-4.8249-8.11069-10.9722-9.441878-17.6646-1.331187-6.6923-.6479738-13.6291%201.963248-19.9332%202.61121-6.304%207.03316-11.6922%2012.70663-15.4831zm3.3686%2015.1857h30.6246c.4513%200%20.884.1844%201.2031.5126.319.3282.4983.7733.4983%201.2374v24.5c0%20.4641-.1793.9093-.4983%201.2374-.3191.3282-.7518.5126-1.2031.5126h-30.6246c-.4513%200-.884-.1844-1.2031-.5126-.319-.3281-.4983-.7733-.4983-1.2374v-24.5c0-.4641.1793-.9092.4983-1.2374.3191-.3282.7518-.5126%201.2031-.5126zm25.3141%2020.7877c.9572-.9846%202.2555-1.5377%203.6092-1.5377v-10.5c-1.3537%200-2.652-.5531-3.6092-1.5377s-1.495-2.3199-1.495-3.7123h-17.0137c0%201.3924-.5377%202.7277-1.4949%203.7123s-2.2555%201.5377-3.6092%201.5377v10.5c1.3537%200%202.652.5531%203.6092%201.5377s1.4949%202.3199%201.4949%203.7123h17.0137c0-1.3924.5378-2.7277%201.495-3.7123zm-16.8073-6.7877c0-3.8605%203.0523-7%206.8055-7s6.8055%203.1395%206.8055%207-3.0523%207-6.8055%207-6.8055-3.1395-6.8055-7zm3.4028%200c0%201.9303%201.5261%203.5%203.4027%203.5s3.4027-1.5697%203.4027-3.5c0-1.9302-1.5261-3.5-3.4027-3.5s-3.4027%201.5698-3.4027%203.5z'%20fill='%2375ee4a'%20fill-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
'%3e%3cpath%20d='M30.6602%2027.26V24.7627H33.5926V21.5654H36.2223V24.7627H39.1737V27.26H36.2223V30.4573H33.5926V27.26H30.6602Z'%20fill='%239284C7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cg%20filter='url(%23filter1_d_238_8757)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M18.9414%2028.6412C18.9414%2027.1655%2019.6792%2026.0304%2020.7955%2025.3871C19.9441%2024.8763%2019.3387%2023.8736%2019.3387%2022.6628C19.3387%2020.3547%2021.0603%2018.7466%2024.163%2018.7466C27.2657%2018.7466%2029.0063%2020.3169%2029.0063%2022.6628C29.0063%2023.8736%2028.4009%2024.8763%2027.5117%2025.406C28.7036%2026.0114%2029.4225%2027.1655%2029.4225%2028.6412C29.4225%2031.2142%2027.4171%2032.8601%2024.1819%2032.8601C20.9468%2032.8601%2018.9414%2031.252%2018.9414%2028.6412ZM24.163%2024.8952C25.2036%2024.8952%2025.8657%2024.3277%2025.8657%2023.3817C25.8657%2022.5114%2025.1847%2021.906%2024.1441%2021.906C23.1414%2021.906%2022.4792%2022.5114%2022.4792%2023.3817C22.4792%2024.3087%2023.1414%2024.8952%2024.163%2024.8952ZM22.0819%2028.6979C22.0819%2029.7952%2022.9333%2030.4385%2024.163%2030.4385C25.3928%2030.4385%2026.263%2029.8142%2026.263%2028.6979C26.263%2027.506%2025.4495%2026.825%2024.1441%2026.825C22.8576%2026.825%2022.0819%2027.506%2022.0819%2028.6979Z'%20fill='%239284C7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cg%20filter='url(%23filter2_d_238_8757)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M12.1963%2024.4981L10.418%2022.3602C11.4963%2021.49%2012.9909%2020.0711%2013.8612%2018.9927H17.2666V32.6143H14.2018V22.7197C13.672%2023.344%2012.9342%2023.9873%2012.1963%2024.4981Z'%20fill='%239284C7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3cpath%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20clip-rule='evenodd'%20d='M25%2045.452C35.8218%2045.452%2044.5946%2036.6792%2044.5946%2025.8574C44.5946%2015.0356%2035.8218%206.26283%2025%206.26283C14.1782%206.26283%205.40541%2015.0356%205.40541%2025.8574C5.40541%2036.6792%2014.1782%2045.452%2025%2045.452ZM25%2050.8574C38.8071%2050.8574%2050%2039.6645%2050%2025.8574C50%2012.0503%2038.8071%200.857422%2025%200.857422C11.1929%200.857422%200%2012.0503%200%2025.8574C0%2039.6645%2011.1929%2050.8574%2025%2050.8574Z'%20fill='%239284C7'/%3e%3cdefs%3e%3cfilter%20id='filter0_d_238_8757'%20x='30.6602'%20y='21.5654'%20width='8.51172'%20height='10.2434'%20filterUnits='userSpaceOnUse'%20color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3e%3cfeFlood%20flood-opacity='0'%20result='BackgroundImageFix'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20in='SourceAlpha'%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%20127%200'%20result='hardAlpha'/%3e%3cfeOffset%20dy='1.35135'/%3e%3cfeComposite%20in2='hardAlpha'%20operator='out'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200.0352941%200%200%200%200%200.0470588%200%200%200%200%200.113725%200%200%200%200.25%200'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in2='BackgroundImageFix'%20result='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in='SourceGraphic'%20in2='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'%20result='shape'/%3e%3c/filter%3e%3cfilter%20id='filter1_d_238_8757'%20x='18.9414'%20y='18.7466'%20width='10.4805'%20height='15.4646'%20filterUnits='userSpaceOnUse'%20color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3e%3cfeFlood%20flood-opacity='0'%20result='BackgroundImageFix'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20in='SourceAlpha'%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%20127%200'%20result='hardAlpha'/%3e%3cfeOffset%20dy='1.35135'/%3e%3cfeComposite%20in2='hardAlpha'%20operator='out'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200.0352941%200%200%200%200%200.0470588%200%200%200%200%200.113725%200%200%200%200.25%200'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in2='BackgroundImageFix'%20result='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in='SourceGraphic'%20in2='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'%20result='shape'/%3e%3c/filter%3e%3cfilter%20id='filter2_d_238_8757'%20x='10.418'%20y='18.9927'%20width='6.84766'%20height='14.9729'%20filterUnits='userSpaceOnUse'%20color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3e%3cfeFlood%20flood-opacity='0'%20result='BackgroundImageFix'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20in='SourceAlpha'%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%200%20127%200'%20result='hardAlpha'/%3e%3cfeOffset%20dy='1.35135'/%3e%3cfeComposite%20in2='hardAlpha'%20operator='out'/%3e%3cfeColorMatrix%20type='matrix'%20values='0%200%200%200%200.0352941%200%200%200%200%200.0470588%200%200%200%200%200.113725%200%200%200%200.25%200'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in2='BackgroundImageFix'%20result='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'/%3e%3cfeBlend%20mode='normal'%20in='SourceGraphic'%20in2='effect1_dropShadow_238_8757'%20result='shape'/%3e%3c/filter%3e%3c/defs%3e%3c/svg%3e)
