Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$32.3m Vol.

Apr 1, 2027

Donald Trump

$8.0m Vol.

No

Pope Leo XIV

$1.0m Vol.

No

Yulia Navalnaya

$2.0m Vol.

No

Julian Assange

$1.2m Vol.

No

Greta Thunberg

$1.5m Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$1.2m Vol.

No

UNRWA

$2.1m Vol.

No

International Court of Justice

$1.2m Vol.

No

António Guterres

$669k Vol.

No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$935k Vol.

No

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$895k Vol.

No

Vladimir Putin

$958k Vol.

No

Khaled Mashal

$913k Vol.

No

Benjamin Netanyahu

$797k Vol.

No

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1.1m Vol.

No

Xi Jinping

$1.5m Vol.

No

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1.3m Vol.

No

Charlie Kirk

$1.3m Vol.

No

Mohammed bin Salman

$1.2m Vol.

No

Narendra Modi

$704k Vol.

No

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$281k Vol.

No

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$16k Vol.

No

Chow Hang-tung

$43k Vol.

No

Committee to Protect Journalists

$110k Vol.

No

Reporters Without Borders

$18k Vol.

No

UNHCR

$15k Vol.

No

ICRC

$14k Vol.

No

Hussam Abu Safiya

$103k Vol.

No

World Central Kitchen

$28k Vol.

No

Save the Children

$97k Vol.

No

Sara Al-Saqqa

$296k Vol.

No

Mark Carney

$75k Vol.

No

Mykola Kuleba

$228k Vol.

No

International Criminal Court

$141k Vol.

No

Doctors Without Borders

$14k Vol.

No

International Space Station

$46k Vol.

No

Parents Circle – Families Forum

$12k Vol.

No

International Association of Judges

$18k Vol.

No

International Peace Research Association

$13k Vol.

No

Yad Vashem

$18k Vol.

No

Jimmy Lai

$70k Vol.

No

Ilham Tohti

$15k Vol.

No

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Created At:Oct 16, 2025, 10:30 PM UTC

Outcome: No
Donald Trump
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Les marchés de prédiction sont actuellement offerts en anglais seulement. D’autres langues seront ajoutées prochainement.