Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

$1.1m Vol.

Aug 2, 2026

August 1

$1k Vol.

Yes

August 3

$2k Vol.

Yes

August 4

$4k Vol.

Yes

August 5

$5k Vol.

Yes

August 6

$2k Vol.

Yes

August 7

$3k Vol.

Yes

August 8

$3k Vol.

Yes

August 9

$2k Vol.

Yes

August 10

$2k Vol.

Yes

August 12

$4k Vol.

Yes

August 13

$87k Vol.

Yes

August 14

$3k Vol.

Yes

August 15

$7k Vol.

Yes

August 16

$2k Vol.

Yes

August 17

$7k Vol.

Yes

August 18

$7k Vol.

Yes

August 19

$5k Vol.

Yes

August 20

$3k Vol.

Yes

August 21

$3k Vol.

Yes

August 22

$7k Vol.

Yes

August 24

$6k Vol.

Yes

August 25

$9k Vol.

Yes

August 26

$8k Vol.

Yes

August 27

$9k Vol.

Yes

August 28

$10k Vol.

Yes

August 29

$14k Vol.

Yes

August 30

$6k Vol.

Yes

August 31

$7k Vol.

Yes

August 2

$4k Vol.

No

August 11

$11k Vol.

No

August 23

$826k Vol.

No

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Created At:Jul 28, 2026, 3:20 AM UTC

Outcome: Yes
August 1
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