
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8m Vol.
Feb 8, 2027

July 2027 Meeting
$115 Vol.
1%

June 2027 Meeting
$27 Vol.

April 2027 Meeting
$50 Vol.

March 2027 Meeting
$1k Vol.
1%

January 2027 Meeting
$4k Vol.
1%

December 2026 Meeting
$413k Vol.

October 2026 Meeting
$230k Vol.

January Meeting
$588k Vol.
No

March Meeting
$0 Vol.
No

April Meeting
$543k Vol.
No

June Meeting
$785k Vol.
No

July Meeting
$579k Vol.
No

September 2026 Meeting
$645k Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At:Dec 16, 2025, 7:36 PM UTC




