OpenAI's Astra released on...?

$489k Vol.

Sep 13, 2026

September 4

$103k Vol.

Yes

September 13

$3k Vol.

No

September 14

$2k Vol.

No

September 15

$2k Vol.

No

September 16

$2k Vol.

No

September 17

$13k Vol.

No

September 18

$845 Vol.

No

September 19

$940 Vol.

No

September 20

$1k Vol.

No

September 21

$1k Vol.

No

September 22

$1k Vol.

No

September 23

$902 Vol.

No

September 24

$4k Vol.

No

September 25

$1k Vol.

No

September 26

$1k Vol.

No

September 27

$3k Vol.

No

September 28

$1k Vol.

No

September 29

$945 Vol.

No

September 30

$1k Vol.

No

No release by September 30

$10k Vol.

No

On or prior to September 2

$3k Vol.

No

September 3

$190k Vol.

No

September 5

$31k Vol.

No

September 6

$27k Vol.

No

September 7

$14k Vol.

No

September 8

$12k Vol.

No

September 9

$39k Vol.

No

September 10

$12k Vol.

No

September 11

$3k Vol.

No

September 12

$4k Vol.

No

Rules

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At:Sep 1, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC

Outcome: Yes
September 4
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